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Informative · Diplomacy

Iran just contradicted itself on the Strait of Hormuz and a US strike could follow

1 hour ago · 25 October 2026Share
The captured Iranian mine-laying ship Iran Ajr with a U.S. Navy landing craft alongside.
An aerial port view of the captured Iranian mine-laying ship Iran Ajr with a U.S. Navy landing craft alongside. File photo. Service Depicted: Command Shown: N1601 Camera Operator: PH3 CLEVELAND · Public domain

Iran just told the world two different things about the Strait of Hormuz.

One part of its government says it made an offer. Another part says that offer never existed.

So here's what happened. Reza Amiri Moghadam, Iran's ambassador to Pakistan, said a day ago that Iran had recently told Washington, through Pakistani mediators, that it would reopen the strait if the US lifted its naval blockade. He said President Trump turned it down and kept the blockade going.

Then, within the same day, Iran's own state media said that never happened.

Tasnim, a news agency tied to Iran's Revolutionary Guard, said Iran sent no new proposal to Pakistan and made no offer to the US at all. Tasnim called the reports a lie and a fabrication, and blamed a Saudi outlet for starting them.

So one Iranian official says an offer was made and rejected. Iran's own state media says there was never an offer in the first place.

And this isn't the only Iranian statement on the table right now. About a week ago, Abbas Araghchi, Iran's Foreign Minister, said an offer to reopen the strait within seven days, made on 18 October, still stands. Nobody has withdrawn that one either.

While Iran was contradicting itself, Donald Trump raised the idea of hitting Iran militarily. He said a strike is being considered and that it could happen as soon as tomorrow, though he wouldn't commit to a date. He said he may have to finish the job with Iran, or make a deal, and that either way, the US wins.

Here's where it gets messier. Two days ago, Tom Barrack, the US ambassador to Turkey, who has no formal role in Iran policy, told a podcast host says quote "Could there be a strike this weekend? Absolutely".

Trump then backed away from it. He told reporters he didn't know anything about his ambassador saying that.

So that's the gap between an envoy freelancing and a president actually deciding something.

The rest of this story is for members.

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